Winterplace Ski Resort

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Ghent, WV

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Top of the Mountain

Forecast Discussion

Summary

SYNOPSIS

... A cold front moves through on Friday, bringing just a small chance for rain. Dry and crisp weekend on tap behind the front.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 1025 PM Thursday...

Forecast on track, with patchy warm advection altocu moving across the middle Ohio Valley.

As of 800 PM Thursday...

Forecast on track, although did try to ingest latest near term data to fine tune temperature, dew point, wind and cloud base gradients associated with the passage of the cold front on Friday.

As of 120 PM Thursday...

Mid-level cloudiness, associated virga, and perhaps a few stray sprinkles making it to the surface associated with a passing mid- level wave will continue to shift off to the east through the remainder of the afternoon. Skies clear this evening with some mountain valley fog developing heading into the AM hours Friday.

A cold front will cross the region during the day Friday bringing light rain to the area with accumulations between a trace and a tenth of an inch. Much cooler air will move in behind the front with locations across SE OH not moving very much during the day as they remain in the 50s in cold advection, while farther southeast where the front arrives last, temperatures should be able to poke up into the mid 60s. Wind along and behind the front will be 10-15 mph with some gusts up into the 20s.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... As of 220 PM Thursday...

A ridge of high pressure builds behind the front bringing cooler and drier conditions throughout the upcoming weekend. A few gusts may continue across the mountains in the wake of the front through Saturday morning before diminishing, resulting in wind chills in the 20s along the highest peaks. Patchy fog and frost are possible Friday and Sunday nights. Saturday night is expected to be the coldest with lows in the mid 30s with temperatures across the mountains in the upper 20s and lower 30s. A widespread frost is expected with sub-freezing temperatures across the mountains. Otherwise, clouds clear out early Saturday with plenty of afternoon sunshine this weekend.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 430 AM Thursday...

A ridge continues to build across for the beginning of the next work week keeping the area dry through through at least Tuesday night before a pattern shift occurs. Slightly warmer temperatures rebound before the next front approaches the region from the west on Wednesday. There is still high uncertainty on the timing of this system as models lack run to run consistency. A slight chance for rain is advertised for much of the region heading into Thursday.

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