|Dew Point:||50.2°F (10.1°C)|
|Wind:||From the ENE at 3.2 MPH|
|Sea Level Pressure:||26.59" (900.3 mb)|
Rain ShowersHigh: 59 Low: 38
SunnyHigh: 54 Low: 38
SunnyHigh: 63 Low: 42
Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain ShowersHigh: 57 Low: 43
Slight Chance Rain ShowersHigh: 54 Low: 42
Rain showers before 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 59. West wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Mostly clear, with a low around 38. West wind 13 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Sunny, with a high near 54. West wind 9 to 16 mph.
Clear, with a low around 38. Southwest wind 2 to 7 mph.
Sunny, with a high near 63. South wind around 5 mph.
Mostly clear, with a low around 42.
A slight chance of rain showers after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 57.
A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
A slight chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 54.
... Widespread beneficial rainfall ahead of a cold front ending by early afternoon. Fair weather through the remainder of the work week. Active weather returning this weekend.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 620 AM Tuesday...
Made some minor updates to PoPs/winds to reflect current radar and ob trends. Otherwise forecast on track.
As of 130 AM Tuesday...
Strong synoptic ascent associated with 150KT H250 jet streak overhead coupled associated low level mass/moist response will continue spread rain from west to east across the forecast area through the remainder of the overnight into mid morning Tuesday. Surface cold front across western Ohio at this hour will bring a little enhancement to rainfall rates via forced ascent for the last couple hours at any given location prior to rainfall ending west to east late morning into early afternoon.
Surface winds have largely tapered off across the region except in the immediate vicinity of downsloping off of higher terrain. Did see one gust to 38 mph at HTS with some initial shower activity dragging down some higher momentum air, and may see additional isolated instances of this prior to column saturation along the leading edge of precipitation, but otherwise winds remain on the light side in the warm sector. Winds will become gusty again, 20 to 30 mph with cold air advection after frontal passage before tapering off tonight. Much drier air filters in this evening with mostly clear skies, so should get shot at catching the tail end of some Orionid meteors (best viewing time will be Wednesday morning). Despite moist ground conditions, should have enough residual gradient to significantly limit any fog formation, as well as limit any frost formation in the cooler mountain falls with lows dipping into the mid 30s.
SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... As of 345 AM Tuesday...
High pressure taking claim over the Mississippi Valley will expand over the forecast area by Wednesday morning and ensure tranquil weather through majority of the short term. Temperatures will prosper near normal for the second half of the work week each afternoon, while dropping into the low 40s in the mornings across the lowlands. We could see patches of frost across the mountains Thursday morning as low temperatures crash to around freezing.
Otherwise, the weather pattern remains rather benign until Friday afternoon pending model trends. Currently, the GFS has a plume of rain encroaching on southeast Ohio and a secondary area of moisture sneaking up from the Carolinas. However, other global models hold off on a return to active weather until late in the weekend. Given this spread, elected to maintain isolated shower potential for the conclusion of the short term period.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 345 AM Tuesday...
The weekend forecast remains up in the air given the wide model spread mentioned in the short term discussion. The ECMWF and Canadian continue to trend with a developing low pressure system originating over the Central Plains, then migrating into the Ohio Valley during the second half of the weekend, while the GFS remains faster and clears out precip by late Saturday night. Considering the uncertainty of this event and how far out in the forecast this still is, maintained central guidance PoPs and will keep an eye on model trends over the next several days to hopefully hone in on a solution. This will also determine temperatures for the weekend time frame pending cloud coverage and precipitation nearby or overhead.